Reliability Evaluation of a Pin Puller via Monte Carlo Simulation
Hyo-Nam Lee and Seung-gyo Jang
International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sicences, vol. 16, no. 4, pp.537-547, 2015
Abstract : A Monte Carlo (MC) simulation was conducted to predict the reliability of a newly developed pyrotechnic pin puller. The
reliability model is based on the stress–strength interference model that states that failure occurs if the stress exceeds the
strength. In this study, the stress is considered to be the energy consumed by movement of a pin shaft, and the strength is
considered to be the energy generated by pyrotechnic combustion for driving the pin shaft. Failure of the pin puller can thus be
defined as the consumed energy being greater than the generated energy. These energies were calculated using a performance
model formulated in the previous study of the present authors. The MC method was used to synthesize the probability
densities of the two energies and evaluate the reliability of the pin puller. From a probabilistic perspective, the calculated
reliability was compared to a deterministic safety factor. A sensitivity analysis was also conducted to determine which design
parameters most affect the reliability.
Keyword : Pin Puller, One-Shot, Reliability, Stress-Strength Model, Monte Carlo Simulation |